Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.002661 0.002839 0.003032 0.003256 0.003512 0.003798 0.004145
2025-01-19 0.002395 0.002638 0.002916 0.003262 0.003691 0.004216 0.004927
2025-01-26 0.002108 0.002362 0.002662 0.003052 0.003558 0.004217 0.005184
2025-02-02 0.001998 0.002276 0.002617 0.003078 0.003710 0.004591 0.006014
2025-02-09 0.001939 0.002245 0.002630 0.003172 0.003957 0.005135 0.007264
2025-02-16 0.001862 0.002180 0.002590 0.003186 0.004086 0.005522 0.008402
2025-02-23 0.001831 0.002171 0.002621 0.003299 0.004376 0.006235 0.010540
2025-03-02 0.001752 0.002092 0.002549 0.003250 0.004399 0.006482 0.011804
2025-03-09 0.001670 0.002004 0.002457 0.003164 0.004346 0.006571 0.012723
2025-03-16 0.001642 0.001988 0.002466 0.003229 0.004562 0.007252 0.016067
2025-03-23 0.001613 0.001968 0.002467 0.003283 0.004763 0.007972 0.020759
2025-03-30 0.001565 0.001918 0.002420 0.003253 0.004802 0.008326 0.024653
2025-04-06 0.001496 0.001839 0.002329 0.003151 0.004702 0.008343 0.027155
2025-04-13 0.001455 0.001798 0.002295 0.003142 0.004792 0.008916 0.036443
2025-04-20 0.001370 0.001691 0.002154 0.002941 0.004463 0.008209 0.031608
2025-04-27 0.001345 0.001669 0.002143 0.002965 0.004607 0.008946 0.047414
2025-05-04 0.001335 0.001671 0.002168 0.003053 0.004904 0.010347 0.121653
2025-05-11 0.001311 0.001647 0.002152 0.003065 0.005036 0.011284 0.575619
2025-05-18 0.001306 0.001654 0.002185 0.003170 0.005410 0.013558 NaN
2025-05-25 0.001272 0.001615 0.002141 0.003125 0.005400 0.014091 NaN
2025-06-01 0.001234 0.001567 0.002081 0.003044 0.005287 0.014034 NaN
2025-06-08 0.001224 0.001564 0.002092 0.003105 0.005564 0.016472 NaN
2025-06-15 0.001212 0.001557 0.002098 0.003155 0.005823 0.019381 NaN